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A year from Election Day, still room for major change

Republican presidential candidate businessman Donald Trump speaks as Dr. Ben Carson listens at the 2016 U.S. Republican presidential candidates debate held by CNBC in Boulder, Colorado, October 28, 2015.

A year from Tuesday, voters across the nation will choose the 45th president of the United States. If the current polls today are any indication, the two main candidates on the ballot will be Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Ben Carson (or perhaps Donald Trump).

Past election cycles have made it clear, however, that plenty can change in a presidential race over the course of one year.

The latest CBS/ New York Times poll shows Carson (at 26 percent) and Trump (at 22 percent) with commanding leads over the rest of the crowded GOP field. Yet at this point in the 2012 race, Republican voters were similarly backing a political outsider. And while Clinton seems like the obvious Democratic nominee for 2016, she also did at this point in the 2008 race.

Here’s a look at how the current state of the race matches up to past presidential elections, one year out.

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