In January 2015, the EUR/USD pair moved below the major demand levels near 1.2100 and 1.2000 where historical bottoms had been previously set in July 2012 and June 2010. Hence, a long-term bearish target is projected towards 0.9450.
In March 2015, the EUR/USD bears challenged the monthly demand level of 1.0570, which had been previously reached in August 1997.
Later in April 2015, a strong bullish recovery was observed around the mentioned demand level.
April’s monthly candlestick came as a bullish engulfing one. However, the next monthly candlesticks (September, October, and November) reflected a strong bearish rejection in the area around 1.1400.
December’s candlestick came as a bullish engulfing one, allowing the previous bullish swing to take place towards 1.1390.
In February, the price zone of 1.1350-1.1400 acted as a significant supply zone during the previous bullish pullback.
Hence, another bearish rejection should be expected around the current price zone during the current bullish swing. If not, further bullish movement towards 1.1700 should be expected.
On the other hand, the level of 0.9450 will remain a long-term bearish target in case the monthly candlestick closes below the depicted monthly demand level of 1.0570.
In November 2015, daily persistence below the level of 1.0800 (the prominent key level) ensured enough bearish momentum towards 1.0550 (the monthly demand level) where the most recent bullish swing was initiated.
During the last few weeks, a consolidation range between 1.1000 and 1.0800 was established on the daily chart. On February 3, a bullish breakout was executed above this consolidation range.
Consequently, a quick bullish movement started towards the zone of 1.1350-1.1400 where previous daily bottoms and the backside of the broken uptrend were depicted on the daily chart.
On February 12, a strong bearish engulfing daily candlestick was expressed near the mentioned supply zone. Hence, a quick bearish decline towards 1.1000 was executed.
A temporary bearish breakdown below 1.1000 (upper limit of the broken range) was seen on the daily chart. A quick bearish decline was expected towards 1.0820 where the most recent bullish swing was initiated.
Recently, bullish fixation above 1.1000 has been mandatory to allow bullish movement to continue. Bullish targets were expected around 1.1320 and 1.1400.
Similar to what happened on February 12, the supply zone of 1.1320-1.1400 stands as a significant resistance zone for the EUR/USD pair to offer bearish rejection and a valid sell entry.
A daily breakdown below the depicted uptrend line (around the 1.1320 level) is needed to ensure enough bearish momentum in the market.
A valid sell entry could be offered around the supply zone near 1.1400. T/P levels should be placed at 1.1200 and 1.1070. S/L should be placed above 1.1460.
Conservative traders should wait for a daily closure below 1.1300 (a prominent demand level and the uptrend line) to sell the EUR/USD pair. Initial T/P levels should be located at 1.1150 and 1.1080.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com